Gold Hits Historic ₹95,000 Mark: Trade Wars and Dollar Weakness Fuel Record Surge

Gold Price Soars Amid Global Tensions

The glitter of gold has never shone brighter — literally and financially. On April 16, gold prices in India touched a historic milestone, crossing ₹95,000 per 10 grams on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) for the very first time. This unprecedented surge is driven by a combination of global economic uncertainty, a weakening US dollar, and the escalating US-China trade war.

Gold, long viewed as a safe-haven asset, often sees demand spike during times of turmoil. With fears rising over global economic growth due to US President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and retaliatory measures by China, investors across the world are turning to gold to protect their portfolios. The ongoing volatility has made gold not just a commodity, but a shield against financial chaos.

What’s Driving the Rally?

Several interconnected factors are contributing to the surge in gold prices, both globally and domestically:

·       Weak US Dollar: A recent drop of 0.65% in the Bloomberg Dollar Index has significantly boosted gold’s appeal. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, increasing international demand.

·       Global Trade Tensions: The tit-for-tat tariff war between the US and China has unnerved investors. Concerns about supply chains, inflation, and global slowdown are pushing capital into gold as a reliable store of value.

·       Central Bank Buying: Central banks across the globe have increased their gold reserves, often via Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This trend reflects a global strategic shift toward gold as a hedge against geopolitical risks and inflation.

·       Geopolitical Unrest: Beyond trade, conflicts in various parts of the world — from Eastern Europe to the Middle East — have further heightened gold’s status as a secure investment.

As a result, international gold prices have surged past $3,300 per ounce, while India’s MCX recorded a high of ₹95,435 per 10 grams — a 2.12% jump from the previous day’s close of ₹93,451.

Silver Joins the Rally

Silver too mirrored gold’s bullish trend, touching a high of ₹96,965 per kg before slightly retreating. Like gold, silver’s surge is tied to industrial demand, currency fluctuations, and the broader rush to precious metals.

How Long Will This Last? What Should Common People Do?

Gold has delivered phenomenal returns, with prices increasing over 20% in 2025 alone and nearly 40% in the past year, according to market data. Experts like Sachin Jain of the World Gold Council believe that the fundamentals for gold remain “very strong” and are expected to hold steady through the year.

However, for the average Indian investor or household, the question arises: Is it too late to buy gold now? While the long-term strength of gold remains intact, experts advise caution in timing purchases, especially when prices are at peak levels. Small, systematic investments — such as through gold savings schemes, digital gold, or sovereign gold bonds — are safer and more cost-effective ways to enter the gold market without taking on immediate price risk.

Gold Shines, But with Caution

As long as the global economic uncertainties and trade wars persist, gold is likely to remain on a bullish path. But how high it will go — and for how long — depends on whether tensions de-escalate or deepen. For now, the common man should tread wisely, opting for diversified and gradual exposure to gold rather than large lump-sum purchases.

India’s gold rush has begun — but wise investing is the real goldmine.

(With inputs from agencies)

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